International Business Cycle Synchronization Since the 1870s: Evidence from a Novel Network Approach

The Impact of ICT Shocks on Business Cycle Some Evidence from Iran

Business Cycle Synchronization and Patterns of Trade: Cases from Gulf Cooperation Council Countries

 Do similarities in trade patterns of GCC countries (UAE, KSA, Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait, and Oman), which are geographically and politically alike and also enjoy oil income, affect the synchronization of their business cycles and make them have similar booms and busts? In this paper, we attempt to connect these two features and explore this question. Using various estimation methods (Common Corre...

Weakening of annual temperature cycle over the Tibetan Plateau since the 1870s

The annual cycle of extra-tropical surface air temperature is an important component of the Earth's climate system. Over the past decades, a reduced amplitude of this mode has been observed in some regions. Although attributed to anthropogenic forcing, it remains unclear when dampening of the annual cycle started. Here we use a residual series of tree-ring width and maximum latewood density fro...

Globalization and Business Cycle Synchronization:

This paper empirically investigates the impact of globalization on the business cycle comovement of individual US states with the rest of the national economy and with the rest of world. Regressions with panel data over the period 1990-2005 provide strong evidence in support of the conventional wisdom that rising global integration over time, through either trade or foreign direct investment fl...

The Worldwide Business Cycle Synchronization Evolution

This paper analyses the evolution of the business cycle worldwide synchronization since 1960. For that, it purposes a correlation index that allows to measure the cross-country synchronization period per period rather than using time windows. This new methodlogy allows to control for outliers when synchronizion across countries increased/droped unexpectedly in single years, and so, it can check...